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LT-034854 / first seen 2026-10-26 14:33 / last activity 1h ago

Calibration, accuracy, and domain variation across one million collective forecasts from prediction platforms

measurement

heat
45 / 100 (raw 1.2)
velocity
0.0 independent sources per hour
solidity
80 / 100
sources
1 total, 1 independent
domain span
1 domain covered it

primary source

title
Calibration, accuracy, and domain variation across one million collective forecasts from prediction platforms
venue
status
peer-reviewed
doi
10.1073/pnas.2615627123
published
2026-10-19