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LT-035272 / first seen 2026-10-27 17:10 / last activity 1h ago

How Model Choice Obscures Forecast Uncertainty: The Rashomon Effect and the 2026 Senate

measurement

heat
45 / 100 (raw 1.2)
velocity
0.0 independent sources per hour
solidity
80 / 100
sources
1 total, 1 independent
domain span
1 domain covered it

primary source

title
How Model Choice Obscures Forecast Uncertainty: The Rashomon Effect and the 2026 Senate
venue
status
peer-reviewed
doi
10.1017/s1049096526103059
published
2026-10-15